ClaimsJeff Bezos

“The diversity of products demands that we employ modern regression techniques like trained random forests of decision trees to flexibly incorporate thousands of product attributes at rank time.”

Jeff Bezos, CEO, in shareholder letter 2011 2010 Letter to Shareholders (SEC (Amazon))

Factual Technology

Amazon uses trained random forests of decision trees to incorporate thousands of product attributes at rank time.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

True: there is evidence that around 2011 Amazon's product search or ranking used trained random-forest or decision-tree-ensemble models that incorporate many product attributes at ranking time. Mostly true: Amazon used tree-ensemble machine-learning ranking (for example gradient-boosted trees) with many features, but the exact method or the attribute count differs slightly. Mostly false: Amazon used machine-learned ranking but not tree ensembles, or only on a small scale. False: the evidence shows Amazon did not use such techniques at the time. If the only source is Amazon's own statement, the claim is consistent with it, but some independent or technical corroboration (A9 papers, engineers' talks, job postings) is preferred.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 Amazon's Secret Ranking Algorithm Exposed: How I Tricked an A.I. into Revealing the Hidden Truth! Signalytics · 27 March 2023

    “Ranking Models: Gradient boosted trees are used as the main method for ranking because they can discover complex feature interactions and work well without significant tuning.”
  2. E2 Amazon's Secret Ranking Algorithm Exposed: How I Tricked an A.I. into Revealing the Hidden Truth! Signalytics · 27 March 2023

    “Amazon has over a hundred machine-learned models in their system, with each model using about 20 of the 150 available features.”
  3. E3 The 8 Best Papers on eCommerce Search Algorithms Constructor · 3 March 2020

    “This paper dives deeper into the algorithms and ML frameworks Amazon’s A9 team have implemented to rank products in categories, blend separate rankings in All Product Search, implement NLP techniques used for matching queries and products, and more.”

Reasoning

E1 says gradient boosted trees are Amazon's main ranking method, and E2 says Amazon has over a hundred machine-learned models, each using about 20 of 150 available features. Neither quote gives a time period, so neither shows what Amazon used around 2011. The source for both is also weak: a 2023 blog post that says it got its information by prompting an AI. E3 only notes that a paper covers A9's ranking algorithms, without saying what methods were used or when, so the evidence does not settle how Amazon ranked products in 2011.

Cite this claim

Jeff Bezos, “Amazon uses trained random forests of decision trees to incorporate thousands of product attributes at rank time.” (said 2011). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_a68cebaeec1c, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_a68cebaeec1c

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Jeff Bezos, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Jeff Bezos

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    The fiber optic cable laid by the bankrupt companies remained in place and was later used.

  2. Resolved true Factual 15 April 2021
    “Amazon is the largest corporate buyer of renewable energy in the world.”

    Amazon is the largest corporate buyer of renewable energy in the world.

  3. Mostly true Factual 11 April 2019
    “We spent several years building our own database engine, Amazon Aurora, a fully-managed MySQL and PostgreSQL-compatible service with the same or better durability and availability as the commercial…”

    Amazon spent several years building Amazon Aurora, a managed MySQL and PostgreSQL-compatible database with durability and availability equal to or better than commercial engines at one-tenth the cost.

  4. Resolved true Factual 11 April 2019
    “We now have 10 stores in Chicago, San Francisco, and Seattle, and are excited about the future.”

    Amazon has 10 Amazon Go stores in Chicago, San Francisco and Seattle.

  5. Mostly true Factual April 2019
    “Since that first-generation Echo, customers have purchased more than 100 million Alexa-enabled devices.”

    Since the first-generation Echo, customers have purchased more than 100 million Alexa-enabled devices.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.