ClaimsPeter Thiel

“I think the strategic picture will stay very even for a really long time.”

Peter Thiel, interviewee 7 February 2020 The World According to Thiel (Hoover Institution)

Prediction Other global risks

The strategic balance between the US and China will stay very even for a really long time.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'A really long time' is undefined, so there is no testable horizon.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “The strategic balance between the US and China will stay very even for a really long time.” (said 7 February 2020). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_9ffdd718f373, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9ffdd718f373

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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