In 2000 Berkshire had an insurance underwriting loss of $1.6 billion, giving a float cost of 6%.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judge against Berkshire's 2000 annual report. True: the reported insurance underwriting loss for 2000 was about $1.6 billion (roughly $1.55–1.65 billion, on the basis Buffett used, before tax), and the cost of float given was 6%. Formal restatements govern. Mostly true: one figure is slightly off (loss within about $1.5–1.7 billion, or cost within 5.5–6.5%). Mixed: one figure matches and the other is materially wrong. Mostly false: both figures are noticeably off, though there was a loss. False: Berkshire reported no underwriting loss in 2000, or figures far from those claimed.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Consolidated Financial Statements Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Own record
“| Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses | 17,332 | 12,518 | 4,040 | | Insurance underwriting expenses | 3,602 | 3,220 | 1,184 |”
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E2 Consolidated Financial Statements Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Own record
“| Insurance premiums earned | $19,343 | $14,306 | $ 5,481 |”
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E3 a70817e10-k.txt U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Form 10-K for fiscal year ended December 31, 2000)
“General Re ** ...................................................... (1,224) (1,184) --”
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E4 a70817e10-k.txt U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Form 10-K for fiscal year ended December 31, 2000)
“The aggregate float was approximately $27.9 billion at December 31, 2000 and $25.3”
Reasoning
Berkshire's consolidated statements in the 2000 annual report (E1, E2) give insurance premiums earned of $19,343 million, against losses and loss adjustment expenses of $17,332 million and underwriting expenses of $3,602 million. In the first column, which is the latest-year column, that works out to a pre-tax underwriting loss of about $1,591 million. That is within the $1.55–1.65 billion range for "true". The 2000 Form 10-K (E4) gives aggregate float of approximately $27.9 billion at December 31, 2000, followed by a figure of $25.3 whose unit and date are cut off in the quote. The loss divided by average float of about $26.6 billion is roughly 6.0%, which matches the claimed float cost. The quotes do not label the year columns or state the 6% directly, but the column order and the arithmetic both fit the claim.
Cite this claim
Warren Buffett, “In 2000 Berkshire had an insurance underwriting loss of $1.6 billion, giving a float cost of 6%.” (said 28 February 2001). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_9f04937cff9e, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9f04937cff9e
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.