Over the last five years, ICE's Exchanges segment grew revenue 8% and profits 10% annually, with margins expanding to 75%.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judge as of 2026-08-12, using the five-year period ending with the latest reported fiscal year or trailing period. The test is ICE's Exchanges segment: compound annual revenue growth of about 8%, annual operating-profit growth of about 10%, and an operating margin of about 75%. True: figures from ICE's segment reporting give revenue growth of 7–9% a year, profit growth of 9–11% a year and a margin of 73–77% that has risen over the period. Mostly true: all three are close but one is slightly outside those bands (within about 1.5 points), or the result depends on a reasonable choice of start year or of net-revenue versus gross-revenue basis. Mixed: one or two of the three figures hold, and the others are materially off. Mostly false: the direction is right (growth and margin expansion) but most of the figures are materially off. False: the segment did not grow, or the margins did not expand or are far from 75%.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (12)
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E1 Intercontinental Exchange Reports Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2021 Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) via Business Wire · 3 February 2022
“Full year exchange net revenues were $3.9 billion, up 6% year-over-year. Exchange operating expenses were $1.3 billion and on an adjusted basis, were $1.2 billion for the full year. Segment operating income for 2021 was $2.5 billion and the operating margin was 65%.”
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E2 Intercontinental Exchange Reports Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2021 Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) via Business Wire · 3 February 2022
“| Segment Revenue | $3,856 | $3,631 | 6% |”
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E3 2/6/2025 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (ICE Exhibit 99.1, Intercontinental Exchange Reports Strong Full Year 2024 Results) · 6 February 2025
“Full year exchange net revenues were $5.0 billion, up 12% year-over-year. Exchange operating expenses were $1.3 billion and on an adjusted basis, were $1.2 billion for the full year. Segment operating income for 2024 was $3.6 billion and the operating margin was 73%.”
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E4 2/6/2025 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (ICE Exhibit 99.1, Intercontinental Exchange Reports Strong Full Year 2024 Results) · 6 February 2025
“On an adjusted basis, operating income was $3.7 billion and the adjusted operating margin was 75%.”
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E5 Intercontinental Exchange Reports Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2021 Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) via Business Wire · 3 February 2022
“Segment operating income for 2021 was $2.5 billion and the operating margin was 65%. On an adjusted basis, operating income was $2.7 billion and the adjusted operating margin was 69%.”
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E6 Intercontinental Exchange Reports Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2021 Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) via Business Wire · 3 February 2022
“Full year exchange net revenues were $3.9 billion, up 6% year-over-year.”
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E7 Intercontinental Exchange Reports Strong Full Year 2024 Results (Exhibit 99.1) Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), filed with the U.S. SEC
“Segment operating income for 2024 was $3.6 billion and the operating margin was 73%. On an adjusted basis, operating income was $3.7 billion and the adjusted operating margin was 75%.”
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E8 Intercontinental Exchange Reports Strong Full Year 2024 Results (Exhibit 99.1) Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), filed with the U.S. SEC
“Full year exchange net revenues were $5.0 billion, up 12% year-over-year.”
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E9 2025 Letter to Shareholders Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) investor relations · 31 March 2026
“In our Exchanges segment, net revenues1 reached a record $5.4 billion, driven by record activity across our global energy and interest rate complexes, along with continued growth in exchange data services and listings.”
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E10 Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. ICE revenue by segment, product and geography TrendNalysis
“In its fiscal year ending 2025-12-31, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. reported revenue across 3 business segments; the largest, Exchanges Segment, was $8.12B, 64.2% of the filed sum (+9.1% against the prior period in the same filing).”
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E11 Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. ICE revenue by segment, product and geography TrendNalysis
“Exchanges Segment$3.98B80.8%+9.5% yoy”
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E12 2021 Letter to Shareholders Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) investor relations · 25 March 2022
“In our Exchanges segment, which includes our futures network as well as the New York Stock Exchange, net revenues2 increased 6% year-over-year to a record $3.9 billion.”
Reasoning
ICE reported Exchanges net revenue of $3,631M for 2020 (E2) and $5.4B for 2025 (E9). That works out to about 8.3% compound annual growth, inside the 7–9% band. The operating margin rose from 65% GAAP and 69% adjusted in 2021 (E5) to 73% GAAP and 75% adjusted in 2024 (E3, E4, E7), so margins did expand to about 75%. None of the evidence gives segment operating income for 2020 or 2025 (the E11 figure is unlabelled). Profit growth can only be measured for 2021–2024: about 13% a year on a GAAP basis and about 11% adjusted, which is consistent with but does not confirm the 10% figure, so the overall verdict is mostly true rather than true.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “Over the last five years, ICE's Exchanges segment grew revenue 8% and profits 10% annually, with margins expanding to 75%.” (said 12 August 2026). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_991bd9fdd585, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_991bd9fdd585
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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