ClaimsPeter Thiel

“Of course, in the long run, it may well be that power and prosperity go to those who follow Locke’s capitalist rules”

Peter Thiel, essay author 2007 The Straussian Moment (gwern.net (PDF))

Prediction Philosophy, ethics and society

In the long run, power and prosperity may go to those who follow Locke's capitalist rules, leaving religious fanatics without the wealth and technology to threaten the nonreligious West.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Hedged 'may' prediction with no horizon; untestable.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “In the long run, power and prosperity may go to those who follow Locke's capitalist rules, leaving religious fanatics without the wealth and technology to threaten the nonreligious West.” (said 2007). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_9062c29185d9, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_9062c29185d9

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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