ClaimsTyler Cowen

“statistically speaking, it's really hard to tell them apart from each other in terms of what they do, how they act, what they charge, and so on.”

Tyler Cowen, guest on EconTalk 18 July 2019 Tyler Cowen on Big Business (EconTalk) archived copy

Factual Economics and markets

For-profit and nonprofit hospitals are statistically hard to tell apart in what they do, how they act and what they charge.

Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Judge as of 2019-07-18 against the empirical health-economics literature comparing US for-profit and nonprofit hospitals on services offered, behaviour (quality, charity care, efficiency) and prices or charges. True: the weight of studies or reviews available by mid-2019 finds small or statistically insignificant differences between the two types on all three dimensions. Mostly true: differences are small or insignificant on most dimensions, with one modest, consistently found difference, for example in pricing or in the mix of services. Mixed: the literature is split, with clear differences on roughly half the dimensions and none on the rest. Mostly false: the literature finds clear, consistent differences on most dimensions, but some real findings of similarity exist that the claim overstates. False: reviews show large, consistent differences between for-profit and nonprofit hospitals in what they do, how they act and what they charge.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 A systematic review and meta-analysis of studies comparing mortality rates of private for-profit and private not-for-profit hospitals CMAJ (Canadian Medical Association Journal) · 28 May 2002

    “Meta-analysis of these 14 studies demonstrated that private for-profit hospitals were associated with an increased risk of death (relative risk [RR] 1.020, 95% CI 1.003–1.038; p = 0.02).”
  2. E2 Investor Ownership and the Costs of Medical Care National Academies Press (Institute of Medicine, Committee on Implications of For-Profit Enterprise in Health Care), via NCBI Bookshelf · 1986

    “The studies consistently found that prices of for-profit chain hospitals were substantially higher than the prices of not-for-profit hospitals—chain or independent.”
  3. E3 Investor Ownership and the Costs of Medical Care National Academies Press (Institute of Medicine, Committee on Implications of For-Profit Enterprise in Health Care), via NCBI Bookshelf · 1986

    “the weight of the evidence and the overall direction is clear: not-for-profit hospitals controlled their expenses more effectively than did for-profit hospitals of the same general size.”

Reasoning

The 1986 Institute of Medicine review found that for-profit chain hospitals consistently charged substantially more than not-for-profit hospitals (E2). It also found that not-for-profit hospitals controlled their expenses more effectively than for-profit hospitals of similar size (E3). A 2002 meta-analysis found a statistically significant but small higher risk of death at for-profit hospitals (RR 1.020) (E1), which is a real difference but close to the near-similarity the claim describes. The evidence shows clear differences in pricing and cost behaviour and a small difference in quality; it says nothing about services offered or charity care, and the IOM sources are dated.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “For-profit and nonprofit hospitals are statistically hard to tell apart in what they do, how they act and what they charge.” (said 18 July 2019). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_8fda8f83f99a, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8fda8f83f99a

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Tyler Cowen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Tyler Cowen

  1. Mostly false Factual 4 March 2026
    “The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets.”

    The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets.

  2. Mostly true Factual 4 March 2026
    “There are some startups, but they’re not significant.”

    In the university sector there are some startups, but they are not significant.

  3. Mostly true Factual 12 January 2026
    “He has a new book *How Africa Works*”

    Joe Studwell has a new book titled How Africa Works.

  4. Mixed Factual 6 December 2025
    “Both #1 (brain drain) and #2 have taken a hit in recent times.”

    The UK's human capital (through brain drain) and its matching of market demands have both declined in recent times.

  5. Mostly false Factual 6 December 2025
    “They are also, in my view, the biggest reasons why the UK currently is in economic trouble.”

    In Cowen's view, weak human capital and mismatch with market demand are the biggest reasons the UK is currently in economic trouble.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.