ClaimsMichael Burry

“By early 2008, I feared the effects of government intervention and exited all our remaining credit default positions — by auctioning them to the many Wall Street banks that were themselves by then desperate to buy protection against default.”

Michael Burry, op-ed author 6 April 2010 Michael Burry Saw the Financial Crisis Coming. Why didn't the Fed? (NYT op-ed) (Lawrence University blog)

Factual Their own work or organisation

By early 2008 Michael Burry exited all remaining credit default positions by auctioning them to Wall Street banks seeking protection.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

True: Scion investor letters, Burry's testimony or reliable reporting show that by early 2008 (roughly January to April 2008) Scion had exited all its remaining credit default swap positions, mainly by auctioning or selling them to Wall Street dealers or banks. Mostly true: the exit was complete and mainly by sale to banks, but it finished slightly later (by mid-2008), or a small residual was kept. Mixed: most positions were exited by early 2008, but a significant share stayed open later, or the exit was not by auction or sale to banks. Mostly false: only a minority of positions had been closed by early 2008, with most exited much later. False: Scion kept most of its credit default positions well beyond 2008, or exited them before 2008 and in a fundamentally different way.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Michael Burry Is Buying Real Estate and Deep Value Yahoo Finance · 20 February 2019

    “In April 2008, Burry liquidated his credit default swap short positions and closed his hedge fund after a turbulent few years.”
  2. E2 Michael Burry's Testimony Before The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission ValueWalk · 29 March 2011

    “it looks like everything if not close to everything was closed out.”
  3. E3 A Series of Scion Funds, LLC Annual Letter Scion Capital, ... investorkurs.no (compilation of Scion Capital letters and FCIC transcript) Own record

    “And then as of today there’s nothing left.”
  4. E4 A Series of Scion Funds, LLC Annual Letter Scion Capital, ... investorkurs.no (compilation of Scion Capital letters and FCIC transcript) · 2008 Own record

    “The Funds continue to maintain a short position amounting to roughly $750 million notional in corporate credits, concentrated most heavily in firms involved in one form or another of mortgage insurance.”

Reasoning

E1 says Burry liquidated his credit default swap positions in April 2008, and E2 and E3 contain undated remarks that everything or nothing was left. No item shows that the positions were auctioned or sold to banks, and E4 refers to a continuing corporate credit short in 2008. So the evidence does not establish both a complete exit and the sale method that the criteria require.

Cite this claim

Michael Burry, “By early 2008 Michael Burry exited all remaining credit default positions by auctioning them to Wall Street banks seeking protection.” (said 6 April 2010). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_8e827dba33aa, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8e827dba33aa

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Michael Burry, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Michael Burry

  1. Mostly true Factual 27 October 2026
    “I have never said that LLMs would stop improving”

    Michael Burry has never said that LLMs would stop improving.

  2. Resolved true Factual 13 October 2026
    “Why I swapped common stock for the junior preferred shares of Fannie Mae”

    Michael Burry swapped common stock for junior preferred shares of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

  3. Resolved true Factual 9 July 2026
    “I never said the A100s would stop functioning.”

    Michael Burry never said that A100 chips would stop functioning.

  4. Mixed Factual December 2025
    “I have generally stayed away from biomed and medtech.”

    Michael Burry has generally stayed away from investing in biomed and medtech.

  5. Mostly true Factual 19 November 2025
    “I am still running my money and active in markets.”

    Michael Burry is still managing his own money and is active in markets.

All of them

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