ClaimsPeter Thiel

“There’s a compelling case that we’ll very likely see extraordinary or accelerated progress in the decades ahead.”

Peter Thiel, class lecturer 15 June 2012 Peter Thiel's CS183: Startup - Class 19 Notes Essay (Stagnation or Singularity?) (Blake Masters Tumblr) archived copy

Prediction Technology

There is a compelling case that extraordinary or accelerated technological progress will very likely occur in the decades ahead.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Vague 'compelling case' and 'extraordinary progress' with no defined horizon or measure.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “There is a compelling case that extraordinary or accelerated technological progress will very likely occur in the decades ahead.” (said 15 June 2012). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_7fec53473299, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_7fec53473299

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Peter Thiel, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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