ClaimsTyler Cowen

“Matt Yglesias links to some who see an imminent attack.”

Tyler Cowen, blogger 10 April 2006 Will we attack Iran? (Marginal Revolution) archived copy

Factual Other global risks

Matt Yglesias linked to commentators who see a US attack on Iran as imminent.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2006-04-10. True: posts by Matt Yglesias on or shortly before 2006-04-10 link to commentators who say a US (or US-led) attack on Iran is imminent. Mostly true: he linked to commentators who saw an attack as likely or near, but the commentators' wording was slightly weaker than 'imminent', or the target or attacker detail differs slightly. Mostly false: Yglesias discussed a possible attack on Iran but did not link to anyone predicting it as imminent. False: no such linking occurred in that period, as shown by his archived posts from that time.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Report says US considering Iran nuclear attack The Irish Times · 10 April 2006

    “The Washington Post reported yesterday that although military options, including nuclear strikes, are being considered against Iran, no attack is likely in the short term and US planners are not considering a land invasion at any stage.”
  2. E2 Report says US considering Iran nuclear attack The Irish Times · 10 April 2006

    “Richard Perle, a prominent neo-conservative who is close to the Pentagon, told The Sunday Times yesterday that an attack on Iran could be over before anyone knew it had happened.”
  3. E3 Bush: Iran Report 'Wild Speculation' CBS News · 10 April 2006

    “Mr. Bush did not directly respond to that report but said, "What you're reading is just wild speculation."”
  4. E4 Matthew Yglesias, Author at The American Prospect - Page 49 of 64 The American Prospect

    “The latest Iraq policy gambit has the US and UK getting behind efforts to remove Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jafari from office and replace him with someone presumably more congenial to Kurdish and Sunni Arab opinion.”

Reasoning

E1–E3 describe the news around 2006-04-10: reports that the US was weighing military options against Iran, including nuclear strikes, and President Bush calling them 'wild speculation'. None of them mentions Matt Yglesias or what he linked to. E4 is an undated Yglesias post on Iraqi politics and says nothing about Iran. No evidence shows whether Yglesias linked to commentators who saw an attack as imminent, so the claim is unresolvable.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “Matt Yglesias linked to commentators who see a US attack on Iran as imminent.” (said 10 April 2006). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_78392f3a10af, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_78392f3a10af

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Tyler Cowen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Tyler Cowen

  1. Mostly true Factual 10 April 2006
    “the implied probability of a U.S. or Israeli attack before December is running about 20 percent”

    On TradeSports around April 2006, the implied probability of a US or Israeli attack on Iran before December 2006 was about 20 percent.

  2. Resolved true Factual 10 April 2006
    “Daniel Drezner offers commentary as well.”

    Daniel Drezner offered commentary on the possibility of a US attack on Iran.

  3. Resolved true Factual 30 March 2026
    “I appear on the Conversations with Coleman podcast:”

    Tyler Cowen appeared on the Conversations with Coleman podcast, published by 2026-03-30.

  4. Mostly true Factual 26 March 2026
    “My new "generative book," fully written by me”

    Tyler Cowen published a new "generative book" that he says was fully written by himself.

  5. Resolved true Factual 25 March 2026
    “My excellent Conversation with Paul Gillingham,”

    Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Paul Gillingham, published by 2026-03-25.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.