ClaimsPeter Thiel

“I think there will be positive returns to ideas greater than there have been in the last 50 years.”

Peter Thiel, investor, interviewee 7 February 2020 The World According to Thiel (Hoover Institution)

Prediction Economics and markets

Peter Thiel predicts that returns to ideas will be positive and greater than at any time in the last 50 years.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'Returns to ideas' is undefined and the prediction has no horizon.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “Peter Thiel predicts that returns to ideas will be positive and greater than at any time in the last 50 years.” (said 7 February 2020). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_71c1c6549be6, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_71c1c6549be6

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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