ClaimsGiveWell

“Web traffic continued to grow.”

GiveWell 12 March 2013 GiveWell annual review for 2012: Details on GiveWell's money moved and web traffic (The GiveWell Blog) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

GiveWell's website traffic continued to grow in 2012.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

True: GiveWell's website traffic in 2012 (visits or unique visitors) exceeded 2011. Mostly true: one main metric grew while another was roughly flat. Mixed: the metrics conflict substantially. Mostly false: traffic was roughly flat. False: traffic declined in 2012.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (1)

  1. E1 Update on GiveWell’s web traffic / money moved: Q1 2012 - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog · 3 April 2012 Own record

    “Website traffic tends to peak in December of each year (circled in the chart below). Growth in web traffic has remained strong.”

Reasoning

The only evidence is GiveWell's own Q1 2012 blog update (E1), which says growth in web traffic 'has remained strong' but gives no full-year 2012 versus 2011 visit or unique-visitor figures. It is not independent of the subject and covers only the first quarter, so it cannot settle whether 2012 traffic exceeded 2011 under the criteria.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell's website traffic continued to grow in 2012.” (said 12 March 2013). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_6d3183e57fa7, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_6d3183e57fa7

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For GiveWell, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.