Pershing Square continues to maintain an energy-related hedge against a large rise in energy prices.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of the date of the 2024 statement, using Pershing Square's 2024 investor letters, PSH interim or annual reports, or portfolio disclosures. True: Pershing Square held an energy-related hedge at that time, for example oil or energy derivatives or options designed to protect against large rises in energy prices, and it had also held one before that date, so that 'continue' fits. Mostly true: the hedge existed but had been put on recently or was described somewhat differently, for example as an inflation hedge with an energy component. Mostly false: the hedge had been closed shortly before the statement, or it was not related to energy prices. False: PSH disclosures from that period show no energy-related hedge.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (8)
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E1 Bill Ackman: Google, Ukraine and Interest Rates GuruFocus · 30 September 2023
“Pershing Square also operates some “hedges” on both rising energy prices and high interest rates.”
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E2 Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. Interim Report and Unaudited Condensed Interim Financial Statements Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 15 August 2024 Own record
“The Investment Manager aims to manage risks through careful investment selection and portfolio construction, and may use opportunistic hedging strategies to mitigate market-related downside risk or to take advantage of asymmetric profit opportunities.”
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E3 Annual Investor Presentation Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 8 February 2024 Own record
“Proven ability for the existing team to enhance its competencies over time, including macroeconomic hedging and private-to-public investing”
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E4 Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. 2024 Interim Report and Unaudited Condensed Interim Financial Statements (June 30, 2024) Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. Own record
“Derivative Contracts: Currency Forwards Equity Options Forward Purchase Agreement(4) Interest Rate Swaptions”
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E5 Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. 2024 Interim Report and Unaudited Condensed Interim Financial Statements (June 30, 2024) Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. Own record
“The Investment Manager aims to manage risks through careful investment selection and portfolio construction, and may use opportunistic hedging strategies to mitigate market-related downside risk or to take advantage of asymmetric profit opportunities.”
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E6 Annual Investor Presentation Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 8 February 2024 Own record
“This presentation contains information and analyses relating to all of the publicly disclosed positions over 50 basis points in the portfolio of Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. (“PSH” or the “Company”) during 2023.”
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E7 Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. 2024 Interim Report and Unaudited Condensed Interim Financial Statements (June 30, 2024) Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. Own record
“Net realized gain/(loss) on commodity interests (net of brokerage”
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E8 Investment Manager’s Report investorkurs.no (hosting a compilation of Pershing Square Holdings letters, 2017-2024) Own record
“In 2023, our hedges generated 187 basis points (bps) of losses principally due to an energy-related hedge (-108bps) and Japanese interest-rate swaptions (-141bps)”
Reasoning
An independent 2023 report says Pershing Square held hedges against rising energy prices (E1). PSH's own investment manager's report says its 2023 hedges lost money, mainly because of an energy-related hedge (-108bps) (E9). Both show the hedge existed before 2024, so "continue" fits. The June 2024 interim report has a line for commodity interests (E7), but its table of derivatives names no energy or oil contract (E4), and the quotes do not directly confirm the hedge was still held when the statement was made. That leaves some doubt, so the verdict is mostly true rather than true.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “Pershing Square continues to maintain an energy-related hedge against a large rise in energy prices.” (said 2024). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_6cb8a0806c8b, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_6cb8a0806c8b
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Bill Ackman
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Mixed
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PSUS holds a portfolio of Pershing Square's best ideas and trades at an 18% discount to cash.
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Mostly true
“This lower return reflects the 35% discount to NAV at which PSH's stock currently trades.”
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Resolved true
“We recently made new investments in Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), Netflix, S&P Global, Intercontinental Exchange, and Alcon (ALC), companies we have closely followed for years.”
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Resolved true
“Streetwise is now available for sale. Please see my review below.”
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Mixed
“Our new independent directors include long-term investors in PSH and the Pershing Square funds as well as new investors in the management company.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.