Tesla will possibly announce new factory locations by the end of 2022.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
A strongly hedged promise that Tesla would 'possibly' announce new factory locations by 31 Dec 2022. True: Tesla officially announced at least one new factory location (a new gigafactory site, not an expansion of an existing one) on or before 31 Dec 2022. Mostly true: a location was officially confirmed by end-2022 with minor ambiguity, e.g. a site was announced but details were still pending. Mostly false: Tesla only signalled or hinted (e.g. talks reported, no official announcement) by end-2022, or the announcement came after 2022 (e.g. the Mexico announcement in early 2023). False: Tesla's Q4 2022 results and other records show that no new factory location was announced in 2022. Given the strong hedging, note that a non-delivery fails the stated outcome but was not firmly promised.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (2)
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E1 Tesla, Inc. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Update Tesla, Inc. (filed with the SEC as Exhibit 99.1) Own record
“statements regarding expansion, improvements and/or ramp and related timing at the California Factory, Gigafactory Shanghai, Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg, Gigafactory Texas and Megapack factory are “forward-looking statements””
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E2 Tesla, Inc. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Update Tesla, Inc. (filed with the SEC as Exhibit 99.1) Own record
“G I G A F A C T O R Y N E V A D A — E X P A N S I O N P L A N S 19”
Reasoning
The two excerpts of Tesla's Q4 2022 update name only existing sites: a forward-looking-statements list and a Nevada expansion slide title [E1][E2]. They do not show either way whether a new factory location was announced by 31 Dec 2022, so the evidence does not settle the claim under the criteria.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “Tesla will possibly announce new factory locations by the end of 2022.” (said 27 January 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_64ca301263d9, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_64ca301263d9
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More promise claims by Elon Musk
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Resolved false
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Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026.
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Resolved false
“We will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months.”
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Delivered on time
“We expect to start production in April.”
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Resolved true
“it's time to bring the Model S and X programs to an end with an honorable discharge.”
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Delivered on time
“we expect to wind down S and X production next quarter and basically stop production of Model S and X next quarter.”
Tesla expects to wind down and basically stop Model S and X production next quarter.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.