ClaimsNassim Taleb

“Soon, informally, Turkey.”

Nassim Taleb, posting on X 19 September 2025 Post by @nntaleb on X, 2025-09-19 (X)

Prediction Other

Egypt will be next to join the Saudi-Pakistan alliance, and Turkey will soon join informally.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'Next' and 'soon' have no defined horizon; informal Turkish joining is vague.

Cite this claim

Nassim Taleb, “Egypt will be next to join the Saudi-Pakistan alliance, and Turkey will soon join informally.” (said 19 September 2025). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_6310d05fc2ff, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_6310d05fc2ff

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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