ClaimsPeter Thiel

“once China grows at 3 or 4% a year, and the growth is uneven, it's actually gonna become more authoritarian, more totalitarian”

Peter Thiel, interviewee 9 November 2022 Peter Thiel, Leader Of The Rebel Alliance (Hoover Institution)

Prediction Other

Thiel suggested that, perhaps for structural reasons, once China's economy grows at only 3 or 4% a year with uneven growth, China will become more authoritarian and more totalitarian, "something like that".

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Prediction conditioned on an undated growth slowdown, with no horizon and vague terms like 'totalitarian'.

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “Thiel suggested that, perhaps for structural reasons, once China's economy grows at only 3 or 4% a year with uneven growth, China will become more authoritarian and more totalitarian, "something like that".” (said 9 November 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_62e15da310b2, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_62e15da310b2

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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