ClaimsDemis Hassabis

“So my betting would be that the final AGI system will have these large multimodal models as part of the overall solution, but they probably won’t be enough on their own.”

Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind 28 February 2024 Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold (Dwarkesh Podcast)

Prediction AI timelines and forecasting

Demis Hassabis's bet is that the final AGI system will include large multimodal models, but that they probably won't be enough alone and will need added planning and search on top.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Prediction about a hypothetical final AGI system with no horizon.

Cite this claim

Demis Hassabis, “Demis Hassabis's bet is that the final AGI system will include large multimodal models, but that they probably won't be enough alone and will need added planning and search on top.” (said 28 February 2024). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5ddf6183e1e0, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5ddf6183e1e0

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Demis Hassabis, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Demis Hassabis

  1. Resolved true Prediction 28 February 2024
    “I think the next versions of this over the next year, 18 months, we’ll maybe have some contextual understanding of the environment around you through a camera or a phone or some glasses.”

    Hassabis said he thought the next versions of these systems, over the next year to 18 months, might have some contextual understanding of the user's environment through a camera, phone or glasses.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 23 July 2025
    “I think fusion and solar are the two that I would bet on.”

    Asked whether it would be nuclear fusion, Demis Hassabis said he thinks fusion and solar are the two energy sources he would bet on.

All of them

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