ClaimsTyler Cowen

“Israel is the only country that has anything even vaguely like that.”

Tyler Cowen, guest on EconTalk 18 July 2019 Tyler Cowen on Big Business (EconTalk) archived copy

Factual Economics and markets

Israel is the only country other than the US with anything even vaguely like American venture capital.

Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2019-07-18, with the claim's loose standard of 'even vaguely like' American venture capital. True if VC data (OECD, PitchBook, Crunchbase, Dealroom) show that in 2019 no country other than the US and Israel had a venture capital sector of broadly comparable scale or intensity, in absolute terms or relative to GDP. Mostly true if one or two other countries come only marginally close. Mixed if several countries have meaningful but clearly smaller VC sectors, so whether they count as 'vaguely like' is debatable. Mostly false if at least one other country (e.g., China or the UK) had a VC sector comparable in size or deal volume, so that Israel's distinctiveness is real but overstated. False if multiple countries had VC sectors clearly comparable to the US, in absolute terms or relative to GDP.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (2)

  1. E1 Following a Different Leader: The Global Influence of China's Venture Capital-Backed Businesses SCCEI China Briefs (Substack) · 18 February 2025

    “In 2001, 88% of global venture capital was invested in U.S firms. By 2019, China accounted for 38% of the worldwide total, while the U.S. accounted for 42%, even though the level of investment in the U.S. increased throughout the period.”
  2. E2 Drivers of Venture Capital across countries Università Ca' Foscari Venezia (master's thesis, Federico Comacchio) · 10 May 2025

    “At the end of 2021, North America had the biggest market share, accounting for 57% of the total deal value in 2021, followed by Asia with 28% and West Europe with 11%.”

Reasoning

E1, an independent source, reports that in 2019 China accounted for 38% of worldwide venture capital, against 42% for the US. That puts China's absolute VC volume broadly on par with the US's in the year of the claim. Under the criteria, one other country with a VC sector of comparable size makes the claim mostly false. E2 covers 2021 at the regional level and does not show multiple countries comparable to the US, so the evidence does not support a full false.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “Israel is the only country other than the US with anything even vaguely like American venture capital.” (said 18 July 2019). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_5ddf1b89edc3, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5ddf1b89edc3

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More factual claims by Tyler Cowen

  1. Mostly false Factual 4 March 2026
    “The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets.”

    The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets.

  2. Mostly true Factual 4 March 2026
    “There are some startups, but they’re not significant.”

    In the university sector there are some startups, but they are not significant.

  3. Mostly true Factual 12 January 2026
    “He has a new book *How Africa Works*”

    Joe Studwell has a new book titled How Africa Works.

  4. Mixed Factual 6 December 2025
    “Both #1 (brain drain) and #2 have taken a hit in recent times.”

    The UK's human capital (through brain drain) and its matching of market demands have both declined in recent times.

  5. Mostly false Factual 6 December 2025
    “They are also, in my view, the biggest reasons why the UK currently is in economic trouble.”

    In Cowen's view, weak human capital and mismatch with market demand are the biggest reasons the UK is currently in economic trouble.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.