ClaimsMarc Andreessen

“We believe any deceleration of AI will cost lives.”

Marc Andreessen, a16z co-founder, author of manifesto 16 October 2023 The Techno-Optimist Manifesto (a16z) archived copy

Prediction AI policy and governance

Any deceleration of AI development will cost lives.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Counterfactual, no horizon, causal claim about lives cost cannot be tested.

Cite this claim

Marc Andreessen, “Any deceleration of AI development will cost lives.” (said 16 October 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5cb90c11c68b, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5cb90c11c68b

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Marc Andreessen, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Marc Andreessen

  1. Mostly true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “They’re going to do as much as they can through executive orders, and then they’re going to do legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.”

    The incoming Trump administration will do as much as it can through executive orders and then use legislation and regulatory changes for the rest.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 26 January 2025
    “It’s purely a question of choice, and I think the new administration’s going to do that.”

    Andreessen said energy independence and large net energy exports are a matter of choice, and that he thinks the new Trump administration will choose to pursue them.

  3. Mostly false Prediction 2 September 2023
    “they have a law that looks like it may pass as soon as October that effectively bans AI inside the Eu.”

    The EU may pass a law as soon as October 2023 that effectively bans AI inside the EU.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 2 September 2023
    “Look, you're going to have Chinese AI.”

    There will be Chinese AI systems that embody Communist ideology.

  5. Mixed Prediction 12 June 2023
    “I'm pretty confident within, call it two years, that will be a solved problem”

    Andreessen said he was pretty confident that within roughly two years of June 2023, AI systems' limited persistent memory across sessions would be a solved problem.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.