In recent months Pershing Square purchased preferred stock of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of the 2018 statement. True: Pershing Square letters, filings or reliable reporting show that in the months before the statement it bought preferred stock of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Mostly true: purchases of both companies' preferreds are confirmed, but the timing was somewhat earlier than 'recent months'. Mostly false: preferred stock of only one of the two companies was bought, or the purchases were years earlier. False: Pershing bought no preferred stock in either company in that period.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (3)
-
E1 2018 Annual Report Letter Only Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. Own record
“FNMA and FMCC preferred shares declined 20% and 6% during 2018 and have increased 28% and 26% year-to-date in 2019.”
-
E2 2018 Annual Report Letter Only Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. Own record
“Following a difficult 2018 driven primarily by a lack of progress on housing finance reform, FNMA and FMCC common and preferred shares have rebounded sharply in the first few months of this year”
-
E3 PSH 2018 Interim Financial Statements Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. · 30 June 2018 Own record
“Fannie and Freddie reported continued earnings growth in their core single-family guarantee businesses in the second quarter.”
Reasoning
The 2018 annual report letter [E4][E5] discusses price moves in FNMA and FMCC preferred shares, but it does not say when, or whether, Pershing Square bought them. The quoted excerpt from the 2018 interim letter [E6] concerns only the companies' earnings. None of these items gives purchase dates, so the evidence cannot show whether both preferreds were bought in the months before the statement, somewhat earlier, or years earlier. All three items are Pershing Square's own documents, and no independent reporting confirms the timing.
Cite this claim
Bill Ackman, “In recent months Pershing Square purchased preferred stock of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.” (said 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_531def81ebd9, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_531def81ebd9
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Bill Ackman
-
Resolved false
“the average life of an S&P 500 CEO is probably, I don’t know, 4 years or 3 years, 3 and a half years or something like this.”
-
Mostly true
“SpaceX is near monopoly in terms of low-cost space launch.”
-
Resolved true
“We created it out of the bankruptcy of General Growth.”
Howard Hughes was created out of the bankruptcy of General Growth as a spinoff of its other assets.
-
Resolved true
“2 years later, we emerged from Chapter 11.”
General Growth emerged from Chapter 11 two years after Pershing Square's investment.
-
Resolved true
“The company’s got a 4 billion dollar market cap, and the goal is to build it into a trillion-dollar thing over time, compounding.”
Howard Hughes Holdings has a market capitalisation of about $4 billion.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.