ClaimsGiveWell

“The progress we’ve made since November 2008 (when we last laid out a business plan)”

GiveWell, unsigned blog post 7 January 2010 GiveWell's self-evaluation and plan (The GiveWell Blog) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

GiveWell last laid out a business plan in November 2008.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

Judged as of 2010-01-07. True: GiveWell published or laid out a business plan in November 2008 and laid out none between then and January 2010. Mostly true: the plan dates to late 2008, within about a month of November, and no later plan exists. Mixed or mostly false: a business plan was laid out in November 2008, but a later one also appeared before January 2010. False: there was no business plan around November 2008, or the most recent plan before January 2010 is clearly at a different date.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Self-evaluation: GiveWell as a donor resource - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog (givewell.org) · 9 February 2010 Own record

    “Our progress over the last year (specifically, since our last business plan in 11/2008);”
  2. E2 Self-evaluation: GiveWell as a project - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog (givewell.org) · 11 February 2010 Own record

    “As of 11/08, we had only made one extended attempt to hire a third employee”
  3. E3 Microsoft Word - Vision Document 2008 11 17.doc GiveWell (files.givewell.org) · 17 November 2008 Own record

    “The path we are focused on now, outlined in a separate document, focuses for the short term on the depth, breadth, and presentation of our research”
  4. E4 Revisiting GiveWell Createquity · 22 January 2009

    “GiveWell has published a new “steady-state” vision document describing where the founders see the organization in 3-6 years.”

Reasoning

E3 is a GiveWell document filed under 'Business Plans and Reviews' in a folder dated 2008-11-17, which points to planning documents from November 2008. E1 and E2, GiveWell's own self-evaluations from February 2010, describe 11/2008 as the date of its last business plan, so no later plan is indicated. The independent source E4 (January 2009) mentions a newly published vision document, which fits a late-2008 date but does not confirm the business plan's exact date. Because the evidence comes mostly from GiveWell itself and the November date rests on file and folder names, the claim resolves mostly true rather than fully true.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell last laid out a business plan in November 2008.” (said 7 January 2010). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_52dc902652d3, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_52dc902652d3

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For GiveWell, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by GiveWell

  1. Mostly true Factual 30 September 2026
    “GiveWell’s Cross-Cutting research subteam focuses on improving our grantmaking over time—it investigates the impact of the programs we fund, works to resolve our largest uncertainties, and…”

    GiveWell's Cross-Cutting research subteam investigates the impact of funded programs, works to resolve the largest uncertainties, and strengthens data collection and analysis.

  2. Resolved true Factual 30 September 2026
    “That was our largest fundraising year to date, and we’re now preparing for the potential of a future at a substantially larger scale.”

    GiveWell's 2025 fundraising of $616 million was its largest fundraising year to date.

  3. Resolved true Factual 31 August 2026
    “Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) went to our four Top Charities”

    Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) in 2025 went to GiveWell's four Top Charities.

  4. Resolved true Factual 31 August 2026
    “In 2025, we directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations. This represents an increase of 8% in funds directed compared to 2024.”

    In 2025 GiveWell directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations, an 8% increase in funds directed compared to 2024.

  5. Mostly true Factual 28 May 2020
    “Each spring, we share our plans for the year.”

    GiveWell shares its plans for the year each spring.

All of them

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