ClaimsNassim Taleb

“The probability of any of these books surviving a decade (except perhaps Darlymple & Murakami) so tiny.”

Nassim Taleb, posting on X 29 December 2019 Post by @nntaleb on X, 2019-12-29 (X)

Prediction Other

The probability that any of the books shown in the linked post, except perhaps Dalrymple's and Murakami's, will survive a decade is very small.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2029 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Nassim Taleb, “The probability that any of the books shown in the linked post, except perhaps Dalrymple's and Murakami's, will survive a decade is very small.” (said 29 December 2019). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_4e980f4c3067, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4e980f4c3067

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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