ClaimsElon Musk

“we're currently at about 100 million miles of FSD outside of highways.”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO 26 January 2023 Tesla Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript (Motley Fool) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

Tesla FSD has accumulated about 100 million miles outside of highways as of January 2023.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

Quantity: cumulative miles driven on Tesla FSD (Beta) on non-highway roads up to about January 2023. True: Tesla's reported figure is roughly 100 million miles (about 85 to 115 million). Mostly true: about 70 to 85 million or 115 to 130 million, or the figure is about 100 million but counted on a slightly different basis (for example total FSD Beta miles rather than city-street miles only). Mostly false: the figure is far from 100 million but in the same order of magnitude (for example 40 to 70 million, or 130 to 200 million). False: the figure is less than 40 million or more than 200 million.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (2)

  1. E1 Tesla's FSD Beta Now Active In 400000 Cars In US And Canada InsideEVs · 26 January 2023

    “During the call, Elon Musk noted that total miles driven with FSD Beta outside of highways reached 100 million miles, stressing that the FSD Beta program is safe.”
  2. E2 Tesla's FSD Beta Now Active In 400000 Cars In US And Canada InsideEVs · 26 January 2023

    “According to the automaker, the FSD Beta fleet has contributed more than 90 million miles of data to the company's neural network as of December 2022.”

Reasoning

E3, an independent news report, gives Tesla's own figure: the FSD Beta fleet had contributed more than 90 million miles as of December 2022. That number falls within the 85–115 million range for "about 100 million". However, it counts total FSD Beta fleet miles, not specifically miles outside highways, which is the slightly different basis the criteria place under mostly true. E2 only repeats Musk's statement on the call, so it does not confirm the figure on its own.

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Tesla FSD has accumulated about 100 million miles outside of highways as of January 2023.” (said 26 January 2023). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_43571a7c4b6a, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_43571a7c4b6a

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Elon Musk, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

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