GEICO's underwriting loss in 2000 produced a float cost of 6.1%.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
What would count as true or false
True: Berkshire's 2000 annual report or Buffett's 2000 letter, and any later correction, gives GEICO's 2000 cost of float as 6.1%, caused by an underwriting loss. Mostly true: the reported figure is within 0.2 percentage points of 6.1%, or the 6.1% is right but is tied to a slightly different measure (for example, the combined insurance operations rather than GEICO alone, or the other way round). Mixed: GEICO did have an underwriting loss in 2000, but its float cost differs by 0.3–1 point. Mostly false: there was an underwriting loss, but the float cost differs by more than 1 point. False: GEICO had no underwriting loss in 2000, or the official figure is very different.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (2)
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E1 berkshire hathaway inc. 2000 annual report Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Own record
“In 2000, however, we had an underwriting loss of $1.6 billion, which gave us a float cost of 6%.”
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E2 a70817e10-k.txt U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (filed by Berkshire Hathaway Inc.) Own record
“The increases in severity were greater than anticipated resulting in larger than expected underwriting losses.”
Reasoning
Berkshire's 2000 annual report (E2) says the 2000 underwriting loss of $1.6 billion "gave us a float cost of 6%." That 6% is within 0.2 points of the claimed 6.1%. The quoted passage does not say whether the 6% figure covers GEICO alone or Berkshire's insurance operations more broadly. The 10-K (E3) refers to larger-than-expected underwriting losses, but the quote does not show a GEICO-only float cost. The resolution criteria count a close figure tied to the combined insurance operations, rather than GEICO alone, as mostly true.
Cite this claim
Warren Buffett, “GEICO's underwriting loss in 2000 produced a float cost of 6.1%.” (said 28 February 2001). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_3b179c4fcee4, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_3b179c4fcee4
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.