SpaceX will attempt a Starship launch on 4 March 2021, with the window opening at 9am.
Resolved false The record shows it did not happen or was not so.
Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
What would count as true or false
Promise that SpaceX would attempt a Starship launch on 4 Mar 2021, with the window opening at 9am (Central time). True: SpaceX attempted a Starship flight (SN10) on 4 Mar 2021, with that day's window opening at about 9am, whether or not the flight succeeded. Mostly true: the launch attempt or launch happened on 4 Mar 2021, but the window timing differed somewhat. Mostly false: the attempt moved to a later date. False: records show there was no Starship launch attempt on 4 Mar 2021.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
-
E1 List of Starship upper stage flight tests - Wikipedia Wikipedia
“3 March 2021 23:15[33][34] | Starship SN10 | Suborbital Pad A | 10 km (33,000 ft)[35]”
-
E2 Watch SpaceX launch and (hopefully) land its giant 10th Starship prototype today Live Science · 3 March 2021
“Update, 3:33 p.m. ET, March 3: SpaceX attempted to launch SN10 at 3:14 p.m. ET, but aborted one-tenth of a second before liftoff, just after the rockets fired.”
-
E3 Update on SpaceX Starship SN10 Launch - The Tech Outlook The Tech Outlook · 3 March 2021
“It’s confirmed that the third attempt to launch and land its Mars-bound Starship spacecraft will be on March 3. The launch window runs from 9 am local time (3 pm GMT) until 6 pm (12 am GMT, Thursday)”
-
E4 SpaceX Starship SN10 livestream: Watch flight test and ... CNBC · 3 March 2021
“Elon Musk's SpaceX is preparing to launch the latest prototype of its next-generation Starship rocket on Wednesday, in the third high-altitude flight test of the system.”
Reasoning
The criteria require a Starship launch attempt on 4 March 2021. The evidence shows that SN10's attempts and flight took place on 3 March 2021: Live Science reported an aborted attempt at 3:14 p.m. ET on 3 March (E2), and the Wikipedia flight list records the SN10 flight on 3 March 2021 at 23:15 (E1). The 9am local window applied to 3 March (E3), and the flight record lists the SN10 flight on 3 March rather than 4 March (E1). Read as written, the criteria resolve this as false.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “SpaceX will attempt a Starship launch on 4 March 2021, with the window opening at 9am.” (said 3 March 2021). Verdict: resolved false. Reliability API, claim c_340899c6a579, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_340899c6a579
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More promise claims by Elon Musk
-
Resolved false
“I really think long-term, the only vehicles that we'll make will be autonomous vehicles with the exception of the next generation Roadster which we're hoping to debut in April.”
Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026.
-
Resolved false
“We will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months.”
-
Delivered on time
“We expect to start production in April.”
-
Resolved true
“it's time to bring the Model S and X programs to an end with an honorable discharge.”
-
Delivered on time
“we expect to wind down S and X production next quarter and basically stop production of Model S and X next quarter.”
Tesla expects to wind down and basically stop Model S and X production next quarter.
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.