ClaimsDaniela Amodei

“my guess is software developers will still exist.”

Daniela Amodei, Anthropic president 29 June 2026 Daniela Amodei Says Curiosity Is Underrated (Stanford GSB)

Prediction AI, the economy and work

She said nobody knows, but her guess is that software developers will still exist, though they will not write as much code.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Prediction with no horizon and vague terms.

Cite this claim

Daniela Amodei, “She said nobody knows, but her guess is that software developers will still exist, though they will not write as much code.” (said 29 June 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_248732af46c0, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_248732af46c0

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Daniela Amodei, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Daniela Amodei

  1. Mostly true Prediction 2022
    “I think something I'm hoping to see in the next few years, and I think we will see, is something closer to, in other industries these look like standard setting organizations or industry groups or…”

    She said she hoped, and thought, that in the next few years the AI industry would see something closer to standard-setting organizations, industry groups or trade associations setting out what a safe model looks like.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 2022
    “I think something I'm hoping to see in the next few years, and I think we will see, is something closer to, in other industries these look like standard setting organizations or industry groups or…”

    Daniela Amodei said she hoped, and thought it likely, that in the next few years AI would see something closer to standard-setting organizations, industry groups or trade associations setting out what a safe model looks like or how to move systems towards being safer.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.