ClaimsNassim Taleb

“Technology that’s 100 years old has another 100 years to go, but it’s statistical.”

Nassim Taleb, author 11 April 2018 Nassim Nicholas Taleb Interview (Art of Manliness)

This quote could not be matched word for word to the source page.

Prediction Technology

Technology that is 100 years old will, statistically, last another 100 years.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Statistical Lindy claim about technology in general with a vague horizon; can't be tested in a meaningful way.

Cite this claim

Nassim Taleb, “Technology that is 100 years old will, statistically, last another 100 years.” (said 11 April 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_1a17065cc75d, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_1a17065cc75d

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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