ClaimsPeter Thiel

“What people have told me is that they think within three to five years, the AI models will be able to solve all the US Math Olympiad problems.”

Peter Thiel, interviewee April 2024 Peter Thiel on Political Theology (Ep. 210) (Conversations with Tyler) archived copy

Prediction AI capabilities

AI models will be able to solve all US Math Olympiad problems within three to five years, as people told Thiel.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2029 is after 2026-10-30

Cite this claim

Peter Thiel, “AI models will be able to solve all US Math Olympiad problems within three to five years, as people told Thiel.” (said April 2024). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_15b1ea7205b6, method 0.1.0+3e03e2df, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_15b1ea7205b6

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Peter Thiel, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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