ClaimsElon Musk

“It’s like we’re about to release the software that will enable you to just turn it on and it’ll drive from highway on ramp to highway exit, do lane changes to overtake other cars to go from one interchange to the next.”

Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, interviewee 7 September 2018 Joe Rogan Experience #1169 with Elon Musk (Transcript) (Singju Post) archived copy

Promise Technology

Tesla is about to release software letting cars drive from highway on-ramp to exit, changing lanes and overtaking other cars.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

'About to release' is read as a release to customers within roughly the following four months, so by 31 Dec 2018. True: by then Tesla shipped software to customer cars, including as a beta and including driver-supervised use, that drives from a highway on-ramp to the exit, follows interchanges and makes lane changes to overtake slower cars (for example Navigate on Autopilot). Mostly true: it shipped in that window but with a minor limit, such as needing the driver to confirm lane changes. Mostly false: it shipped only after 31 Dec 2018, or only part of the capability (for example lane changes but not on-ramp-to-exit routing) shipped in the window. False: no such software reached customers by then, as shown by release notes or dated reports placing the release later or recording it as cancelled.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Tesla is rolling out its Navigate on Autopilot feature | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 26 October 2018

    “Navigate on Autopilot is an active guidance feature of the company’s Enhanced Autopilot system that is supposed to guide a car from a highway on-ramp to off-ramp, including navigating interchanges and making lane changes.”
  2. E2 Tesla’s Navigate on Autopilot update is now live The Verge · 27 October 2018

    “In a blog post, Tesla says that with driver supervision, cars equipped with the feature will be able guide “a car from a highway’s on-ramp to off-ramp, including suggesting and making lane changes, navigating highway interchanges, and taking exits.””
  3. E3 Tesla is rolling out its Navigate on Autopilot feature | TechCrunch TechCrunch · 26 October 2018

    “For now, the feature makes a lane change suggestion that requires the driver to confirm by tapping the turn signal before it will proceed.”
  4. E4 Tesla starts releasing Navigate on Autopilot feature with disappointing caveat, update with UI changes Electrek · 24 October 2018

    “But it is still in beta, and unlike the first version that was released in Tesla’s Early Access Program, the feature doesn’t initiate the lane changes.”

Reasoning

Independent reports from October 2018 say Tesla was rolling out Navigate on Autopilot and that the update was live. The feature guides a car from a highway on-ramp to the off-ramp, handles interchanges and makes lane changes under driver supervision (E1, E2). At release, though, lane changes were suggestions that the driver had to confirm by tapping the turn signal, and the feature was labelled beta (E3, E4). The criteria name this exact limit as an example of mostly true.

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Tesla is about to release software letting cars drive from highway on-ramp to exit, changing lanes and overtaking other cars.” (said 7 September 2018). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_0ea7f2d1b55c, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0ea7f2d1b55c

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More promise claims by Elon Musk

  1. Resolved true Promise 7 September 2018
    “And we’re going to put video games in it.”

    Tesla will add video games to its cars.

  2. Resolved false Promise 28 January 2026
    “I really think long-term, the only vehicles that we'll make will be autonomous vehicles with the exception of the next generation Roadster which we're hoping to debut in April.”

    Tesla hopes to debut the next-generation Roadster in April 2026.

  3. Resolved false Promise 28 January 2026
    “We will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months.”

    Tesla will probably unveil Optimus 3 in a few months.

  4. Delivered on time Promise 28 January 2026
    “We expect to start production in April.”

    Tesla expects to start CyberCab production in April 2026.

  5. Resolved true Promise 28 January 2026
    “it's time to bring the Model S and X programs to an end with an honorable discharge.”

    Tesla will end the Model S and Model X programs.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.