ClaimsRay Kurzweil

“US researchers are now testing this optimized flu vaccine on human subjects.”

Ray Kurzweil, columnist May 2020 AI-powered bio-tech can help deploy a vaccine in record time (Kurzweil Library / Wired) archived copy

Factual Biosecurity

As of May 2020, US researchers are testing the Flinders-optimized flu vaccine on human subjects.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

The second judge said resolved true; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

True: evidence shows that as of about May 2020 a US-based human clinical trial of the Flinders AI-assisted flu vaccine was under way or ongoing (e.g., a registered trial with US sites). Mostly true: human testing was under way, but with a minor discrepancy (e.g., run by a US-funded or partner organisation, or the trial had just started or just finished). Mixed: a trial was planned or announced but not clearly active. Mostly false: trials were taking place only outside the US, or had not yet begun. False: no human testing of this vaccine occurred or was under way around that time.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 AI-created flu vaccine starts testing in US - CNET CNET · 12 July 2019

    “A vaccine created with the computer program — Smart Algorithms for Medical Discovery, or Sam for short — started clinical trials in the US about a week ago, Flinders University Professor Nikolai Petrovsky said in an email to CNET.”
  2. E2 AI develops 'turbocharged' flu vaccine - Becker's Hospital Review | Healthcare News & Analysis Becker's Hospital Review · 2 July 2019

    “The U.S. clinical trial, which is currently recruiting participants, is expected to begin soon and will take about a year to complete.”
  3. E3 Flu researcher says health bureaucrats forced clinical trials overseas Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC News) · 5 July 2019

    “Professor Petrovsky's work made international headlines this week, after a drug designed with artificial intelligence secured its first clinical trial in the US.”
  4. E4 Flinders University to trial AI-based flu vaccine in US Clinical Trials Arena · 1 July 2019

    “A randomised, double-blinded, Phase II study will be conducted in the US to assess the safety, reactogenicity, and immunogenicity of the flu vaccine over 12 months.”

Reasoning

E1 reports that a US clinical trial of the Flinders AI-designed flu vaccine began in roughly early July 2019, and E3 confirms the vaccine secured a US clinical trial. E4 describes a planned randomised Phase II US study over 12 months, and E2 says the US trial was recruiting, was expected to begin soon and would take about a year to complete; if it ran as planned from its start in about July 2019 [E1], May 2020 would fall within the trial period. No source directly confirms the trial's status in May 2020, so the claim is well supported by inference rather than direct confirmation.

Cite this claim

Ray Kurzweil, “As of May 2020, US researchers are testing the Flinders-optimized flu vaccine on human subjects.” (said May 2020). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_0c621d2cfd5a, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0c621d2cfd5a

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ray Kurzweil, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Ray Kurzweil

  1. Resolved false Factual 9 July 2024
    “Moderna, they actually gathered several billion different possibilities for what could cause COVID.”

    Moderna gathered several billion possibilities for what could cause COVID and used simulated trials with AI to narrow them.

  2. Resolved true Factual April 2022
    “The US government has a plan to actually create new vaccines within a few months to three months.”

    The US government has a plan to create new vaccines within a few months to three months.

  3. Mostly true Factual May 2020
    “created a turbo-charged flu vaccine in part by using a biology simulator that used AI to find drugs that activate the human immune system.”

    In 2019 researchers at Flinders University in Adelaide created a turbo-charged flu vaccine partly using an AI biology simulator that found drugs activating the human immune system.

  4. Resolved true Factual October 2005
    “There are promising new technologies, like RNA interference, that could be harnessed.”

    New technologies such as RNA interference are promising and could be harnessed against viral threats.

  5. Mostly false Factual 4 June 2026
    “That was not true a year ago. But that’s true today.”

    Large language models being roughly 50% better than human doctors at diagnosing conditions and recommending treatments was not true a year ago but is true today.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.