ClaimsElon Musk

“anywhere from more than you need to, maybe half, like call it half to 1.5 of the energy that you need”

Elon Musk, interviewee 7 September 2018 Joe Rogan Experience #1169 with Elon Musk (Transcript) (Singju Post) archived copy

Factual Technology

Solar roofs generally supply about half to 1.5 times the energy a household needs, depending on roof size relative to living space.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

What would count as true or false

The claim is that a Tesla solar roof generally produces about 0.5 to 1.5 times a household's energy (electricity) needs, depending on roof size relative to living space. TRUE: Tesla's specifications, its sizing tools or independent analyses of typical installations show annual output usually falling within roughly 0.5x to 1.5x of household electricity use. MOSTLY TRUE: the typical range is broadly similar but shifted somewhat, for example about 0.4x to 1.2x. MIXED: a substantial share of typical homes falls well outside the range. MOSTLY FALSE: typical coverage is mostly well below 0.5x, or the range holds only in narrow cases. FALSE: typical solar roof output is far outside the stated range.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (7)

  1. E1 Sizing and Design | Tesla Support Tesla Own record

    “Our recommended system size on your order is based on offsetting your current energy usage, determined by the average electric bill that you enter.”
  2. E2 Understanding System Performance | Tesla Support Tesla Own record

    “Depending on a variety of factors, some systems can offset 100% of consumption.”
  3. E3 Tesla Solar Roof long-term review: Insights from a homeowner’s journey with Elon Musk’s solar tiles Teslarati · 29 November 2018

    “At its peak during summer in June and July, the Solar Roof tiles were producing about 60 kWh in one day, which was more than enough to power the Toblers’ house and their two plug-in vehicles.”
  4. E4 Tesla Solar Roof long-term review: Insights from a homeowner’s journey with Elon Musk’s solar tiles Teslarati · 29 November 2018

    “As the days got shorter and more overcast amidst the approaching winter, though, the Solar Roof tiles generated less energy, now producing about 20 kWh a day.”
  5. E5 Sizing and Design | Tesla Support Tesla Own record

    “Our recommended system size on your order is based on offsetting your current energy usage, determined by the average electric bill that you enter.”
  6. E6 Sign up for new posts! ethanelkind.com (personal blog; the page does not name a publisher beyond the site) · 9 June 2017

    “1,000 square foot home: produce $49,900 worth of electricity (net savings of $28,690)”
  7. E7 Sign up for new posts! ethanelkind.com (personal blog; the page does not name a publisher beyond the site) · 9 June 2017

    “assuming a 30% federal tax credit and that the tiles can produce as advertised over 30 years, the total net savings for a house in Los Angeles is as follows:”

Reasoning

Tesla's support pages (E1, E2) say systems are sized to offset current usage and that some can offset 100% of consumption. Neither gives a typical range of annual output relative to household use. The independent Teslarati report (E3, E4) covers a single household and gives only daily summer and winter output, with no annual totals or consumption figures. The blog post (E6, E7) gives dollar savings that assume the tiles perform as advertised. It does not compare output with household need. None of the evidence shows whether typical Solar Roof output falls between about 0.5x and 1.5x of household electricity use.

Cite this claim

Elon Musk, “Solar roofs generally supply about half to 1.5 times the energy a household needs, depending on roof size relative to living space.” (said 7 September 2018). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_0b1c6fa3722e, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0b1c6fa3722e

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Elon Musk, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.